Saturday The disconnect between the real market, including amongst other things, the design, manufacture, marketing and exchange of goods and services, and the stock exchange, has never been greater. Were the ramifications not so disastrous, the divergent trajectories of the two would be amusing. The stock market continues to soar, because the Fed creates billions … [Read more...]
Peak Uncertainty
Thursday The markets are manifesting an exuberant and giddy blend of hope and fear. The primary cause is the seemingly bottomless credit being pumped into the system. Crypto Mania (CryMan) will end up more famous than Tulip Bulb Mania as an example of group nuttiness. The problem is that either the credit will stop, or that the credit will become greatly … [Read more...]
Waiting for Inflation – Waiting for Godot?
Monday I see headlines warning of inflation (meaning rising prices), even hyperinflation. These predictions have ebbed and flowed for just under twenty years and many a commentator has a face full of egg. Not that any of them have acknowledged being wrong, or apologised for misleading their readers. Their basic problem was the belief that the more credit notes (fiat) … [Read more...]